Intuition Test
How accurate is your gut feeling?
What you'll discover
Where your intuition is surprisingly accurate
Where your gut systematically misleads you
Which cognitive biases affect you most
No signup required
How accurate is your gut feeling?
Where your intuition is surprisingly accurate
Where your gut systematically misleads you
Which cognitive biases affect you most
No signup required
This test measures your intuition accuracy across different types of uncertainty: probability estimation, risk assessment, and pattern recognition. Each question presents a real-world scenario where most people's gut feelings conflict with reality. After each answer, you'll see an explanation of why intuition typically fails (or succeeds) in that situation.
0-2 correct: Your intuition frequently conflicts with reality in these domains. This awareness is valuable—you know when to slow down and check the numbers.
3-4 correct: Mixed results. Your gut is calibrated in some areas but has blind spots in others.
5-6 correct: Strong intuition. You resist many common thinking traps, though some biases may still affect you.
7 correct: Exceptionally calibrated. You avoid nearly every cognitive trap tested here.
Behavioral psychologists Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky discovered that human decision-making operates on two systems: fast, automatic intuition (System 1) and slow, deliberate analysis (System 2). While intuition serves us well in familiar situations, it systematically fails when dealing with probability, statistics, and rare events.
This test is based on their research and subsequent work in behavioral economics. The questions are designed to reveal specific cognitive biases including availability bias, base rate neglect, the gambler's fallacy, and pattern recognition errors.